The Diamondbacks have a very talented top three in the rotation but the #4 and #5 spots will likely determine if the D-Backs have a solid rotation or not in 2010. 29-year old righty Dan Haren will be the D-Backs’ #1 starter once again in 2010. He started 33 games for the Diamondbacks last season in which he was 14-10 with a 3.14 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP. Haren only walked 38 batters while allowing 192 hits in 229 1/3 innings last season as he is a workhorse. He also whiffed 223 batters for the D-Backs last season. The one thing that the Diamondbacks have hope with Haren is that he pitches well all year long instead of fading in the second half which he has done the last couple years. Regardless, Haren is one of the best starting pitchers in all of baseball and he will be exactly that again in 2010.
30-year old righty Brandon Webb was being counted on to be the #2 starter for the Diamondbacks this season but he is likely going to start the season on the D.L. as his shoulder just isn’t right yet. Webb only started 1 game last season for the D-Backs before shutting in down and he was 0-0 with a 13.50 ERA and a 2.00 WHIP. Webb has pitched in 199 games (198 starts) in his career with the D-Backs and he is 87-62 with a 3.27 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. He won the Cy Young Award in 2006 for the Diamondbacks. The D-Backs need his stay to be short on the D.L. because they don’t have a lot of quality depth in the starting rotation
26-year old righty Edwin Jackson will be the D-Backs’ #3 starter unless Webb can’t go in which case he will move up to #2. Jackson started 33 games for the Tigers last season in which he was 13-9 with a 3.62 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. 2009 was by far Jackson’s best year in the majors so you have to wonder if he has finally found himself. No one doubts Jackson’s stuff as it is great. His problems in his career have come above the shoulders but it seems as if he is ready to take his game to the next level. Still, he has pitched in 139 games (110 starts) in his major league career in which he is 38-39 with a 4.66 ERA and a 1.51 WHIP.
25-year old righty Ian Kennedy will likely be the #4 starter in the rotation for the D-Backs in 2010. Kennedy missed most of last season due to injury. He pitched in 1 game (0 starts) with the Yankees and he was 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA and a 2.00 WHIP. He has now pitched in 14 games (12 starts) in his major league career and he is 1-4 with a 6.03 ERA and a 1.68 WHIP. I think the pressure cooker in N.Y. was a little too much for him as he walked 37 batters with the Yankees in only 59 2/3 innings despite being a solid control pitcher in the minors. In four years in the minors, Kennedy pitched in 46 games (43 starts) in which he was 19-6 with a 1.95 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP. The Diamondbacks have high hopes that Kennedy will excel in the less pressure packed environment in Arizona.
26-year old righty Billy Bucker probably has a slight edge in the competition for the #5 spot in the rotation. Buckner pitched in 16 games (13 starts) for the D-Backs last season in which he was 4-6 with a 6.40 ERA and a 1.59 WHIP. He definitely has some issues to clear up before he will be a decent starting pitcher in the majors as he gave up 94 hits (12 of which were homers) in only 77 1/3 innings for the Diamondbacks last season.
24-year old righty Kevin Mulvey came over from the Twins in a trade last summer. He pitched in 8 games (4 starts) for the Twins & D-Backs last season in which he was 0-3 with a 8.14 ERA and a 1.69 WHIP. But, it wasn’t all bad for him last season as he started 24 games in AAA-ball in which he was 5-8 with a 3.93 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP. Mulvey will have to pitch good this spring to win a spot in the D-Backs’ starting rotation.
34-year old righty Rodrigo Lopez is the wildcard for the D-Backs at the back end of the starting rotation. Lopez pitched in 7 games (5 starts) for the Phillies last season and he was 3-1 with a 5.70 ERA and a 1.77 WHIP. He also started 18 games in AAA-ball last season in which he was 7-5 with a 4.31 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP. If Lopez is healthy he could win 10+ games for the D-Backs in 2010.
PROJECTED GRADE FOR THE STARTING ROTATION IN 2010: C